Smallholder farming systems, which underpin over a third of global food production, face unprecedented pressures from climate change. In response, governments and development organizations increasingly promote climate-smart agriculture as a key adaptation strategy. Yet prevailing approaches often equate adoption with success, overlooking the behavioral, structural, and temporal dynamics that determine who can sustain adaptations over time. This narrow focus risks reinforcing rather than reducing livelihood inequalities.

This work reframes adaptation as an iterative decision process shaped by unequal capacities and social hierarchies. Drawing on field research and spatial agent-based models, we examine how individual and broader-scale capacities interact to shape adaptation trajectories of marginalized households, and how they reinforce or mitigate long-standing inequalities.

Research Questions

Core methods

Econometrics Behavioral modeling Spatial agent-based modeling