Transhumant pastoral systems in France, Norway, and Spain sustain landscapes, livelihoods, and cultural heritage that have persisted for centuries. Yet these systems now face novel climate hazards, from droughts and wildfire in Spain to shorter snow seasons in Norway, compounded by demographic change, economic pressures, and the erosion of traditional ecological knowledge.

This work investigates how institutions and governance regimes evolve in response to socio-environmental stressors, and how these institutional dynamics scale from local to regional governance. Drawing on archival documents, and Delphi surveys of policy experts, we analyze how institutions and governance regimes shape adaptive capacity in these cultural heritage landscapes.

Research Questions

Core methods

Computational text analysis (LLMs) Dynamical systems modeling Configurational comparative methods